Accuracy Center
Every prediction is logged before the game and frozen at start time. We show sample sizes and calibration — not just the wins.
Verified real predictions settled: 0Real accuracy begins once a licensed data provider is connected. Demo results are shown separately and never mixed in.
DEMO HISTORY · NOT REAL RESULTS
Predictions
420
sample size
Accuracy
67.4%
283 correct
Brier score
0.213
lower is better (0.25 = coin flip)
Model
v1.0
Elo + form + injuries
Calibration — predicted vs actual win rate
Cumulative accuracy over time
Accuracy by league
Performance by probability range
| Range | Sample | Expected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–55% | 70 | 52.5% | 52.9% |
| 55–60% | 51 | 57.5% | 56.9% |
| 60–65% | 52 | 62.5% | 69.2% |
| 65–70% | 71 | 67.5% | 62.0% |
| 70–75% | 61 | 72.5% | 85.2% |
| 75–80% | 61 | 77.5% | 75.4% |
| 80–85% | 54 | 82.5% | 72.2% |